Four Bad Numbers For Democrats: 3.9, 6.8, 4.8, 51

May 4, 2018
The Democrats are banking on a wave election in 2018, but some new reports suggest that the chances of that happening are diminishing by the day. After a series of Morning Consult polls showing the Democrats in serious trouble in some key Senate races, Democrats got some more bad news: The unemployment rate, particularly the unemployment rate of African-Americans and Hispanics, continues to drop to record lows, while Donald Trump's approval number continues to outpace Barack Obama's.

CNBC reported Friday that the unemployment rate in April fell to 3.9%, "an 18-year low." In total, non-farm payrolls rose by 164,000.

The news is even better for African Americans. Amid reports that opinion of Trump among African-Americans has improved dramatically since Kanye West donned his MAGA hat and declared his love for his "brother," the unemployment rate among black Americans has now hit a record low.

"The unemployment rate for black workers hit the lowest on record in April, according to the latest jobs figures released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday," the Washington Examiner reports. "The unemployment rate for black workers dropped to 6.6 percent, beating the previous record low of 6.8 percent set in December."

While it's not quite record-setting, the jobless rate among Hispanics has now tied a 12-year low at 4.8%.

Meanwhile, Trump's approval rating, despite all the bad press about his personal lawyer Michael Cohen and the Stormy Daniels "hush money," continues to outperform President Obama at the same time in his presidency. Rasmussen reports:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans like the job the president is doing; 75% of Democrats don’t. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 47% approve; 51% disapprove.

The latest figures include 33% of all likely voters who Strongly Approve of the way the president is performing and 40% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -7. (see trends).

The positive trends in the unemployment numbers and Trump's approval is not the only troubling news Democrats have received this week. Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief Ben Shapiro provides a summary of recent Morning Consult polls suggesting that the "blue wave" might end up having a far redder tint than Democrats hope:

Republicans have serious leads in West Virginia, where incumbent Democrat Joe Manchin trails by 14 points; North Dakota, where incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp trails by 8; Indiana, where incumbent Democrat Joe Donnelly trails by 5; Missouri, where incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill trails by 5; Montana, where incumbent Democrat Jon Tester trails by 5; Florida, where incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson is locked in a near-deadlock with Rick Scott; and Pennsylvania and Ohio, where incumbent Democrats Bill Casey and Sherrod Brown are leading by less than two points each, plus Virginia, where Tim Kaine leads by just 3 on the generic ballot. In the best-case scenario for Republicans, then, they could win up to nine additional Senate seats.

Edited by cwjga (05/09/18 07:14 PM)