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#579714 --- 05/21/07 11:56 AM Unfortunately, the Iraq disaster was predicted
Retired Soldier Offline
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Registered: 12/23/05
Posts: 12945
Loc: Rochester, NY
Intelligence predicted violence from Hussein overthrow
By Walter Pincus, Washington Post | May 21, 2007

WASHINGTON -- Two intelligence assessments from January 2003 predicted that the overthrow of Saddam Hussein and subsequent US occupation of Iraq could lead to internal violence and provide a boost to terrorists in the region, according to congressional sources and former intelligence officials.

The two assessments, titled "Principal Challenges in Post-Saddam Iraq" and "Regional Consequences of Regime Change in Iraq," were produced by the National Intelligence Council and will be part of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence's Phase II report on prewar intelligence assessments about Iraq.

The assessments were delivered to the White House and to congressional intelligence committees before the war started.

The committee chairman, Senator John D. Rockefeller IV , Democrat of West Virginia, said this month that the panel had asked Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell to declassify the report for public release.

Congressional sources said the two National Intelligence Council assessments will be included in the Phase II report to be released soon.

The assessment on post-Hussein Iraq included judgments that while Iraq was unlikely to split apart, there was a significant chance that domestic groups would fight each other and that former regime military elements could merge with terrorist groups to battle any new government. It even talks of guerrilla warfare.

The second assessment discussed "political Islam being boosted and the war being exploited by terrorists and extremists elsewhere in the region," one former analyst said. It also suggested that fear of US military occupation of a Middle East country would attract foreign Islamic fighters to the area. The NIC assessments paint "a very sobering and, as it has turned out, mostly accurate picture of the aftermath of the invasion," according to a former intelligence officer familiar with the studies

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#579747 --- 05/21/07 03:14 PM Re: Unfortunately, the Iraq disaster was predicted [Re: Retired Soldier]
VM Smith Offline
Diamond Member

Registered: 11/29/05
Posts: 38160
Loc: Ship of Fools
Yeah, but Bush and Cheney didn't want to hear it because that was not the outcome that they were dreaming of.
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If you vote for government, you have no right to complain about what government does.

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#579768 --- 05/21/07 04:22 PM Re: Unfortunately, the Iraq disaster was predicted [Re: VM Smith]
Gio Offline
Gold Member

Registered: 08/01/03
Posts: 16476
Loc: Cleveland
You just embolden the enemy again. How can you live with yourselves????
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